Wednesday, July 9, 2014

What I Watch: Predicting the 2014 Emmy DRAMA Nominations

Once again, I’m taking a whack at predicting the Emmy nominees. This year, I’m going to concentrate solely on the DRAMA categories. Not because I now co-host a podcast titled THE SERIOUS TV DRAMA PODCAST WITH SCOT AND DAN; I’m simply not that fired up about most of the potential COMEDY nominees.

BEST WRITING IN A DRAMA SERIES

BREAKING BAD - OZYMANDIAS
THE GOOD WIFE - THE LAST CALL
TRUE DETECTIVE - THE SECRET FATE OF ALL LIFE
GAME OF THRONES - THE CHILDREN
MAD MEN - THE STRATEGY

And here’s four possible nominees that could crash that party: 
Breaking Bad - “Felina” 
Downton Abbey - 1st episode of S4 
House of Cards - 1st episode of S2
Mad Men - “Waterloo”

I will say right now that my prediction in this category will be wrong, as they almost ALWAYS give one show a couple nominations, which probably means Breaking Bad’s “Felina” will push out either Mad Men’s “The Strategy” or The Good Wife’s “The Last Call”. Unless they expand this category as has happened with all the subsequent ones here...

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

BREAKING BAD - ANNA GUNN
DOWNTON ABBEY - MAGGIE SMITH
DOWNTON ABBEY - JOANNE FROGGATT
GAME OF THRONES - EMILIA CLARKE
THE GOOD WIFE - CHRISTINE BARANSKI
TRUE DETECTIVE - MICHELLE MONAGHAN

And here’s four possible nominees that could crash that party:
The Good Wife - Archie Panjabi
Grey’s Anatomy - Sandra Oh
Mad Men - Christina Hendricks
Scandal - Bellamy Young

Actually, the person I would LOVE to see get a nod probably has no chance at all: Game of Thrones’s Maisie Williams

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

BOARDWALK EMPIRE - JEFFREY WRIGHT
BREAKING BAD - AARON PAUL
BREAKING BAD  - DEAN NORRIS
GAME OF THRONES - PETER DINKLAGE
THE GOOD WIFE - JOSH CHARLES
MAD MEN - JOHN SLATTERY

And here’s four possible nominees that could crash that party:
Downton Abbey - Brendan Coyle
Game of Thrones - Charles Dance
Homeland - Mandy Patinkin
Ray Donovan - Jon Voight

Wish there was a way for me to squeeze Justified’s Walton Goggins into the mix, but I think it was a weaker season for that series.

BEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES

THE GOOD WIFE - JULIANNA MARGUILIES
HOMELAND - CLAIRE DANES
HOUSE OF CARDS - ROBIN WRIGHT
MAD MEN - ELIZABETH MOSS
MASTERS OF SEX - LIZZY CAPLAN
SCANDAL - KERRY WASHINGTON

And here’s four possible nominees that could crash that party:
The Americans - Keri Russell
The Bridge - DIane Kruger
Downton Abbey - Michelle Dockery
Orphan Black - Tatiana Maslany

I’m very much opposed to googly-eyed Danes getting nominated, but I know it’s gonna happen.

BEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA

BREAKING BAD - BRYAN CRANSTON
HOUSE OF CARDS - KEVIN SPACEY
MAD MEN - JON HAMM
MASTERS OF SEX - MICHAEL SHEEN
TRUE DETECTIVE - MATTHEW MCCONAUGHEY
TRUE DETECTIVE - WOODY HARRELSON

And here’s four possible nominees that could crash that party:
The Americans - Matthew Rhys
The Blacklist - James Spader
The Bridge - Demian Bechir
Downton Abbey - Hugh Bonneville

It breaks my heart not to list Boardwalk Empire’s Steve Buscemi, but maybe next year. Also, I won’t list Homeland’s Damian Lewis on general principle.

and finally…BEST DRAMA SERIES

BREAKING BAD
GAME OF THRONES
THE GOOD WIFE
HOUSE OF CARDS
MAD MEN
TRUE DETECTIVE

And here’s four possible nominees that could crash that party:
The Americans
Downton Abbey
Homeland
Masters of Sex

It was a passably good but not great season for Justified and Boardwalk Empire might have been deserving, but it's more likely to have a better shot at a nomination next year. I adore Hannibal, but it may be a bit too extreme and let's face it, Sons of Anarchy never got any appreciation at the Emmys when it was one of the two or three best dramas on TV, so it sure as hell isn't gonna get jack-squat now. I don’t think Masters of Sex is quite ready to break into the top category — those possible acting nods will be a big enough victory for them. The Bridge will almost certainly be criminally overlooked, and as for The Newsroom — does anybody even remember they had a 2nd season? 

In case anyone was wondering, FX's FARGO was submitted in the miniseries category, otherwise it would have definitely busted into most of these categories, you betchaAfter the smoke clears and I see how well I scored here, I'll do a quickie follow-up to predict the winners. Probably use the old "Who I Want to Win/Who I Believe Will Win" method.

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